Academic Publications

Members of Exeter Climate Policy have generated cutting-edge and actionable knowledge for zero-carbon transition decision-making, with strong emphasis on public policy. This has helped to shape debate, kick start initiatives, and raised the public’s awareness of the economic opportunities and risks of the transition.

Key Publications

All Publications

Edwards, A., Brockway, P., Bickerstaff, K., & Nijsse, F. J. (2025). Towards modelling post-growth climate futures: a review of current modelling practices and next steps. Environmental Research Letters.

Lynch, C., Barbrook-Johnson, P., Bravo, P. S., Mercure, J. F., Nijsse, F., Qin, J., & Pasqualino, R. (2025). Tackling transformational change in climate policy appraisal: experiences and perceptions of United Kingdom policy analysts. Energy Research & Social Science, 127, 104190.

Mercure, J. F., Pollitt, H., Geels, F. W., & Zenghelis, D. (2025). The effects of low-carbon transitions on labour productivity: analysing UK electricity, heat, and mobility with a techno-economic simulation model. Climate Policy, 1-18.

Mercure, J. F., Lam, A., Buxton, J., Boulton, C., Akther, A., & Lenton, T. (2025). Evidence of a cascading positive tipping point towards electric vehicles. Nature Communications.

Semieniuk, G., Weber, I.M., Weaver, I.S., Wasner, E., Braun, B., Holden, P.B., Salas, P., Mercure, J.F., & Edwards, N.R., 2025. Best of times, worst of times: record fossil-fuel profits, inflation and inequality. Energy Research & Social Science, 127, p.104221.

Barbrook-Johnson, P., Mercure, J.F., Sharpe, S., Peñasco, C., Hepburn, C., Anadon, L.D., Farmer, J.D., & Lenton, T.M., Economic modelling fit for the demands of energy decision makers. Nature Energy, 9, pp. 229–231

Chester, D., Lynch, C., Mercure, J. F., & Jarvis, A. (2024). Stranded human and produced capital in a net-zero transition. Environmental Research: Climate, 3(4), 045012.

Lynch, C., Simsek, Y., Mercure, J. F., Fragkos, P., Lefèvre, J., Le Gallic, T., … & Nijsse, F. (2024). Structural change and socio-economic disparities in a net zero transition. Economic Systems Research, 36(4), 607-629.

Pollitt, H., Mercure, J. F., Barker, T., Salas, P., & Scrieciu, S. (2024). The role of the IPCC in assessing actionable evidence for climate policymaking. npj Climate Action, 3(1), 11.

Qin, J., Lynch, C., Barbrook-Johnson, P., Salas, P., Yang, G., Ferreira Cardia Haddad, M., … & Mercure, J. F. (2024). How are climate policies assessed in emerging economies? A study of ex-ante policy appraisal in Brazil, China, and India. Climate Policy, 24(9), 1242-1258.

Espagne, E., Oman, W., Mercure, J. F., Svartzman, R., Volz, U., Pollitt, H., … & Campiglio, E. (2023). Cross-border risks of a global economy in mid-transition (Vol. 184). International Monetary Fund.

Nijsse, F. J., Mercure, J. F., Ameli, N., Larosa, F., Kothari, S., Rickman, J., … & Pollitt, H. (2023). The momentum of the solar energy transition. Nature Communications.

Semieniuk, G., Chancel, L., Saïsset, E., Holden, P. B., Mercure, J. F., & Edwards, N. R. (2023). Potential pension fund losses should not deter high-income countries from bold climate action. Joule, 7(7), 1383-1387.

Semieniuk, G., Holden, P. B., Mercure, J. F., Salas, P., Pollitt, H., Jobson, K., … & Viñuales, J. E. (2022). Stranded fossil-fuel assets translate to major losses for investors in advanced economies. Nature Climate Change, 12(6), 532-538.

Lefevre, J., Le Gallic, T., Fragkos, P., Mercure, J. F., Simsek, Y., & Paroussos, L. (2022). Global socio-economic and climate change mitigation scenarios through the lens of structural change. Global Environmental Change, 74, 102510.

Lam, A., & Mercure, J. F. (2021). Which policy mixes are best for decarbonising passenger cars? Simulating interactions among taxes, subsidies and regulations for the United Kingdom, the United States, Japan, China, and India. Energy Research & Social Science, 75, 101951.

Mercure, J. F., Salas, P., Vercoulen, P., Semieniuk, G., Lam, A., Pollitt, H., … & Vinuales, J. E. (2021). Reframing incentives for climate policy action. Nature Energy, 6(12), 1133-1143.

Mercure, J. F., Sharpe, S., Vinuales, J. E., Ives, M., Grubb, M., Lam, A., … & Nijsse, F. J. (2021). Risk-opportunity analysis for transformative policy design and appraisal. Global Environmental Change, 70, 102359.

Knobloch, F., Hanssen, S. V., Lam, A., Pollitt, H., Salas, P., Chewpreecha, U., … & Mercure, J. F. (2020). Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time. Nature sustainability, 3(6), 437-447.

Knobloch, F., Pollitt, H., Chewpreecha, U., Daioglou, V., & Mercure, J. F. (2019). Simulating the deep decarbonisation of residential heating for limiting global warming to 1.5 C. Energy Efficiency, 12(2), 521-550.

Knobloch, F., Pollitt, H., Chewpreecha, U., Lewney, R., Huijbregts, M. A., & Mercure, J. F. (2021). FTT: Heat—A simulation model for technological change in the European residential heating sector. Energy Policy, 153, 112249.

Mercure, J. F., Knobloch, F., Pollitt, H., Paroussos, L., Scrieciu, S. S., & Lewney, R. (2019). Modelling innovation and the macroeconomics of low-carbon transitions: theory, perspectives and practical use. Climate Policy, 19(8), 1019-1037.

Mercure, J. F., Paim, M. A., Bocquillon, P., Lindner, S., Salas, P., Martinelli, P., … & Viñuales, J. E. (2019). System complexity and policy integration challenges: the Brazilian energy-water-food nexus. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 105, 230-243.

Mercure, J. F., Lam, A., Billington, S., & Pollitt, H. (2018). Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2∘ C. Climatic Change, 151(2), 109-129.

Mercure, J. F., Pollitt, H., Viñuales, J. E., Edwards, N. R., Holden, P. B., Chewpreecha, U., … & Knobloch, F. (2018). Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets. Nature climate change, 8(7), 588-593.